Avian-human influenza epidemic model

Shingo Iwami, Yasuhiro Takeuchi, Xianning Liu

Research output: Contribution to journalArticle

115 Citations (Scopus)

Abstract

A mathematical model is proposed to interpret the spread of avian influenza from the bird world to the human world. Our mathematical model warns that two types of the outbreak of avian influenza may occur if the humans do not prevent the spread of avian influenza. Moreover, it suggests that we cannot feel relieved although the total infected humans are kept at low level. In order to prevent spread of avian influenza in the human world, we must take the measures not only for the birds infected with avian influenza to exterminate but also for the humans infected with mutant avian influenza to quarantine when mutant avian influenza has already occurred. In particular, the latter measure is shown to be important to stop the second pandemic of avian influenza.

Original languageEnglish
Pages (from-to)1-25
Number of pages25
JournalMathematical Biosciences
Volume207
Issue number1
DOIs
Publication statusPublished - May 1 2007
Externally publishedYes

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human influenza
Influenza in Birds
Influenza
Epidemic Model
Birds
avian influenza
Human Influenza
Mathematical models
Mutant
Theoretical Models
mathematical models
Quarantine
Mathematical Model
mutants
Human
birds
Pandemics
pandemic
quarantine
Disease Outbreaks

All Science Journal Classification (ASJC) codes

  • Statistics and Probability
  • Modelling and Simulation
  • Biochemistry, Genetics and Molecular Biology(all)
  • Immunology and Microbiology(all)
  • Agricultural and Biological Sciences(all)
  • Applied Mathematics

Cite this

Avian-human influenza epidemic model. / Iwami, Shingo; Takeuchi, Yasuhiro; Liu, Xianning.

In: Mathematical Biosciences, Vol. 207, No. 1, 01.05.2007, p. 1-25.

Research output: Contribution to journalArticle

Iwami, Shingo ; Takeuchi, Yasuhiro ; Liu, Xianning. / Avian-human influenza epidemic model. In: Mathematical Biosciences. 2007 ; Vol. 207, No. 1. pp. 1-25.
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