Day-Ahead Global Solar Radiation Forecasting Using Binary Trees and Factor Analysis

Fumitoshi Nomiyama, Takuma Murakami, Joji Asai, Hirotaka Takano, Junichi Murata

Research output: Contribution to journalArticle

Abstract

SUMMARY A method is proposed for forecasting global solar radiation. The method is based on weather information using binary trees and factor analysis. The feature of this method is that it is possible to use a simple linear forecasting equation. The method has been tested on meteorological and global solar radiation data obtained at several observation sites, and the results show that it is a promising means of maintaining the balance between demand and supply of electric power in power systems of the near future with a large number of photovoltaic systems installed.

Original languageEnglish
Pages (from-to)13-21
Number of pages9
JournalElectrical Engineering in Japan (English translation of Denki Gakkai Ronbunshi)
Volume196
Issue number3
DOIs
Publication statusPublished - Aug 1 2016

All Science Journal Classification (ASJC) codes

  • Energy Engineering and Power Technology
  • Electrical and Electronic Engineering

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