Development of stochastic typhoon model for performance design of coastal structures

Noriaki Hashimoto, Hiroyasu Kawai, Kuniaki Matsuura, Koji Kawaguchi

Research output: Chapter in Book/Report/Conference proceedingConference contribution

7 Citations (Scopus)

Abstract

A stochastic typhoon model was developed on the basis of 347 typhoon data for 50 years from 1951 to 2000 for the area of 25°-40°N and 120°-150°E. A multivariate AR model was applied for typhoon parameters as a function of typhoon location and time, where the seasonal changes of typhoon characteristics were properly taken into account by changing the parameters depending on the season. The reproducibility of the typhoon characteristics in each season by the model was improved as compared with the existing typhoon models. The comparison between the simulated data and the actual data leads to the conclusion that the proposed stochastic typhoon model can be applied for the performance design of coastal structures in considering the occurrence probability of extreme natural external forces.

Original languageEnglish
Title of host publicationProceedings of the 29th International Conference on Coastal Engineering 2004, ICCE 2004
EditorsJane McKee Smith, Jane McKee Smith
PublisherAmerican Society of Civil Engineers (ASCE)
Pages3615-3627
Number of pages13
ISBN (Electronic)9789812562982, 9789812562982
DOIs
Publication statusPublished - Apr 1 2005
Externally publishedYes
Event29th International Conference on Coastal Engineering, ICCE 2004 - Lisbon, Portugal
Duration: Sep 19 2004Sep 24 2004

Publication series

NameProceedings of the Coastal Engineering Conference
Volume2005-January
ISSN (Print)0161-3782

Other

Other29th International Conference on Coastal Engineering, ICCE 2004
CountryPortugal
CityLisbon
Period9/19/049/24/04

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All Science Journal Classification (ASJC) codes

  • Civil and Structural Engineering
  • Ocean Engineering
  • Oceanography

Cite this

Hashimoto, N., Kawai, H., Matsuura, K., & Kawaguchi, K. (2005). Development of stochastic typhoon model for performance design of coastal structures. In J. M. Smith, & J. M. Smith (Eds.), Proceedings of the 29th International Conference on Coastal Engineering 2004, ICCE 2004 (pp. 3615-3627). (Proceedings of the Coastal Engineering Conference; Vol. 2005-January). American Society of Civil Engineers (ASCE). https://doi.org/10.1142/9789812701916-0292