Features of the AFFRC model for evaluating the relationship between the water cycle and rice production

Michiko Hayano, Naoki Horikawa, Tsuneo Kuwagata, Jun Furuya, Yasushi Ishigooka, Toshihiro Hasegawa, Tomoyuki Taniguchi, Akira Shimizu, Hitoshi Toritani, Minoru Tada, Takao Masumoto

Research output: Contribution to journalArticlepeer-review

2 Citations (Scopus)

Abstract

This paper introduces the Agriculture, Forestry and Fisheries Research Council of Japan (AFFRC) model, an integrated model that predicts future rice production in the Mekong River basin by taking into account the effect of global warming on both the water cycle and the rice economy. The model focuses especially on the water balance of paddy fields for different farmland water use systems. We defined six categories of irrigated paddies and three categories of rain-fed paddies on the basis of their systems of water usage. We included a process-based model to predict future rice production, accounting for daily changes in available water resources such as precipitation. Many models of crop production treat rice in the same way as other crops; the particular characteristics of rice farming are considered in more detail in our model. Our results show that it is possible to estimate future rice production in the Mekong River basin by taking into account changes in available water, and to model the resultant effects on the grain market.

Original languageEnglish
Pages (from-to)15-23
Number of pages9
JournalPaddy and Water Environment
Volume6
Issue number1
DOIs
Publication statusPublished - 2008
Externally publishedYes

All Science Journal Classification (ASJC) codes

  • Environmental Engineering
  • Agronomy and Crop Science
  • Water Science and Technology

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