Forecasting energy supply and pollution from the offshore oil and gas industry

Shunsuke Managi, James J. Opaluch, Di Jin, Thomas A. Grigalunas

Research output: Contribution to journalArticlepeer-review

2 Citations (Scopus)


Sound energy and environmental policies require reliable forecasts of production and pollution, as well as supply response to policy actions. In this study, we describe a model for forecasting long-term production and pollution in the offshore oil and gas industry in the Gulf of Mexico under different scenarios. A model based on disaggregated field-level data is used to forecast production and pollution through to the year 2050. The time path for resource depletion is determined as the net effect of technological progress and depletion under alternative scenarios for new discoveries. We also quantify potential efficiencies that could result from changing the design of regulations from the current command-and-control regime, to an approach that allows more flexible means of achieving the same environmental goals.

Original languageEnglish
Pages (from-to)307-332
Number of pages26
JournalMarine Resource Economics
Issue number3
Publication statusPublished - Jan 1 2004
Externally publishedYes

All Science Journal Classification (ASJC) codes

  • Oceanography
  • Geography, Planning and Development
  • Economics and Econometrics
  • Management, Monitoring, Policy and Law


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