Near Earth orbit debris identification to secure future Earth-Moon trajectory mission

The proposed research aims to secure future Earth-to-Moon commercial space travels starting from year 2045. In order to achieve this objective, precise knowledge of the space environment along this transfer orbit is required. Therefore, this proposal aims to predict the debris environment of both low-Earth and geostationary orbits as it may be in the year 2045. Then, among the predicted debris population, the idea is to identify the objects potentially dangerous for the success of the mission, i.e. the objects that have a high probability to intersect the Earth-Moon transfer orbit, and to determine their origin at an earlier baseline time, set as year 2020. This identification phase is a necessary step so as to perform an effective removal process of the original objects before the generation of the identified debris, which could allow eradicating collision risks. By identifying collision risks in a relatively far future, such a proposed research could give the opportunity from now to elaborate an effective plan for debris remediation, which can be considered as an innovative aspect at a time where debris proliferation inhibition is considered as a priority by worldwide Space Agencies.