Abstract
A practical method is proposed for forecasting global solar radiation in a wide area which, in turn, is used for photovoltaic generation output forecast. For ease of forecasting procedure, the area is divided into sub-areas or groups of sites. Sites having similar weather form a group. The similarity is calculated using mean absolute deviations or correlations among the actual sunshine duration data. The forecasting procedure becomes simpler by focusing on a single representative site in each group. In addition, it is found that a common forecasting model can be successfully used for a number of different groups, which saves the operator's workload without deteriorating the forecasting accuracy.
| Original language | English |
|---|---|
| Pages (from-to) | 93-98 |
| Number of pages | 6 |
| Journal | Research Reports on Information Science and Electrical Engineering of Kyushu University |
| Volume | 18 |
| Issue number | 2 |
| Publication status | Published - Jan 1 2013 |
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All Science Journal Classification (ASJC) codes
- Computer Science(all)
- Electrical and Electronic Engineering
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Practical method for forecasting amounts of global solar radiation in wide area. / Nomiyama, Fumitoshi; Asai, Joji; Murakami, Takuma; Takano, Hirotaka; Murata, Junichi.
In: Research Reports on Information Science and Electrical Engineering of Kyushu University, Vol. 18, No. 2, 01.01.2013, p. 93-98.Research output: Contribution to journal › Article
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TY - JOUR
T1 - Practical method for forecasting amounts of global solar radiation in wide area
AU - Nomiyama, Fumitoshi
AU - Asai, Joji
AU - Murakami, Takuma
AU - Takano, Hirotaka
AU - Murata, Junichi
PY - 2013/1/1
Y1 - 2013/1/1
N2 - A practical method is proposed for forecasting global solar radiation in a wide area which, in turn, is used for photovoltaic generation output forecast. For ease of forecasting procedure, the area is divided into sub-areas or groups of sites. Sites having similar weather form a group. The similarity is calculated using mean absolute deviations or correlations among the actual sunshine duration data. The forecasting procedure becomes simpler by focusing on a single representative site in each group. In addition, it is found that a common forecasting model can be successfully used for a number of different groups, which saves the operator's workload without deteriorating the forecasting accuracy.
AB - A practical method is proposed for forecasting global solar radiation in a wide area which, in turn, is used for photovoltaic generation output forecast. For ease of forecasting procedure, the area is divided into sub-areas or groups of sites. Sites having similar weather form a group. The similarity is calculated using mean absolute deviations or correlations among the actual sunshine duration data. The forecasting procedure becomes simpler by focusing on a single representative site in each group. In addition, it is found that a common forecasting model can be successfully used for a number of different groups, which saves the operator's workload without deteriorating the forecasting accuracy.
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UR - http://www.scopus.com/inward/citedby.url?scp=84904582268&partnerID=8YFLogxK
M3 - Article
AN - SCOPUS:84904582268
VL - 18
SP - 93
EP - 98
JO - Research Reports on Information Science and Electrical Engineering of Kyushu University
JF - Research Reports on Information Science and Electrical Engineering of Kyushu University
SN - 1342-3819
IS - 2
ER -