TY - JOUR
T1 - Prediction of climatic suitability for wine grape production under the climatic change in Hokkaido
AU - Nemoto, Manabu
AU - Hirota, Tomoyoshi
AU - Sato, Tomonori
N1 - Publisher Copyright:
© 2016, Society of Agricultural Meteorology of Japan. All rights reserved.
Copyright:
Copyright 2016 Elsevier B.V., All rights reserved.
PY - 2016
Y1 - 2016
N2 - This paper investigates the shifts in climatic suitability for cultivating grapes (Vitis vinifera) in Hokkaido, Japan, throughout the 20th and 21st century. To assess area suitability over time, we used two climate model datasets and three climatic criteria (summer temperature, summer precipitation, and winter temperature). The optimum area for growth gradually enlarged from the 1990s to present (2010s), and this area will cover almost all of the Hokkaido region by the 2050s. Even when considering model uncertainties, almost all low elevation areas in Hokkaido are projected to be suitable for V. vinifera cultivation in the future.
AB - This paper investigates the shifts in climatic suitability for cultivating grapes (Vitis vinifera) in Hokkaido, Japan, throughout the 20th and 21st century. To assess area suitability over time, we used two climate model datasets and three climatic criteria (summer temperature, summer precipitation, and winter temperature). The optimum area for growth gradually enlarged from the 1990s to present (2010s), and this area will cover almost all of the Hokkaido region by the 2050s. Even when considering model uncertainties, almost all low elevation areas in Hokkaido are projected to be suitable for V. vinifera cultivation in the future.
UR - http://www.scopus.com/inward/record.url?scp=84987657478&partnerID=8YFLogxK
UR - http://www.scopus.com/inward/citedby.url?scp=84987657478&partnerID=8YFLogxK
U2 - 10.2480/agrmet.D-15-00027
DO - 10.2480/agrmet.D-15-00027
M3 - Article
AN - SCOPUS:84987657478
SN - 0021-8588
VL - 72
SP - 167
EP - 172
JO - J. AGRICULTURAL METEOROLOGY
JF - J. AGRICULTURAL METEOROLOGY
IS - 3-4
ER -
