TY - JOUR
T1 - Reduction of future disaster damages by learning from disaster experiences
AU - Onuma, Hiroki
AU - Shin, Kong Joo
AU - Managi, Shunsuke
N1 - Funding Information:
This research was funded by a grant from the Sompo Japan Environment Foundation, the Grant-in-Aid for JSPS Research Fellow (263600), and a Grant-in-Aid for Specially Promoted Research (26000001) by the Japan Society for the Promotion of Science. Any opinions, findings, and conclusions expressed in this material are those of the authors and do not necessarily reflect the views of the grant supporters.
Publisher Copyright:
© 2017, Springer Science+Business Media Dordrecht.
PY - 2017/7/1
Y1 - 2017/7/1
N2 - This paper examines the effect of a country’s own past disaster experiences and nearby countries’ past experiences on subsequent disaster damage. We use global disaster data from 1990 to 2010, which include disaster-related death tolls for both natural and technological disasters that are further divided into sub-categories. Overall, we find evidence of a reduction effect of past disaster damage on future disaster damage. More detailed analyses show that an adaptation effect seems to be present for certain combinations of disaster types and levels of economic development. The results show that a country’s own experiences reduce future damage for natural disasters but that the marginal effect is larger for lower-income countries. On the other hand, for technological disasters, a robust impact of experiences was found only in higher-income countries. In terms of the disaster experiences of nearby countries, the adaptation effect was found only for natural disasters, and the marginal impact was relatively higher for higher-income countries.
AB - This paper examines the effect of a country’s own past disaster experiences and nearby countries’ past experiences on subsequent disaster damage. We use global disaster data from 1990 to 2010, which include disaster-related death tolls for both natural and technological disasters that are further divided into sub-categories. Overall, we find evidence of a reduction effect of past disaster damage on future disaster damage. More detailed analyses show that an adaptation effect seems to be present for certain combinations of disaster types and levels of economic development. The results show that a country’s own experiences reduce future damage for natural disasters but that the marginal effect is larger for lower-income countries. On the other hand, for technological disasters, a robust impact of experiences was found only in higher-income countries. In terms of the disaster experiences of nearby countries, the adaptation effect was found only for natural disasters, and the marginal impact was relatively higher for higher-income countries.
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U2 - 10.1007/s11069-017-2825-3
DO - 10.1007/s11069-017-2825-3
M3 - Article
AN - SCOPUS:85015616618
SN - 0921-030X
VL - 87
SP - 1435
EP - 1452
JO - Natural Hazards
JF - Natural Hazards
IS - 3
ER -
