A decadal prediction of the quantity of plastic marine debris littered on beaches of the East Asian marginal seas

Shin'ichiro Kako, Atsuhiko Isobe, Tomoya Kataoka, Hirofumi Hinata

研究成果: Contribution to journalArticle査読

31 被引用数 (Scopus)

抄録

Large quantities of plastic litter are expected to wash ashore along the beaches of the East Asian marginal seas in the coming decade. Litter quantities were predicted using three techniques: a particle tracking model (PTM) used in conjunction with two-way PTM experiments designed to reveal litter sources, an inverse method used to compute litter outflows at each source, and a sequential monitoring system designed to monitor existing beach litter using webcams. Modeled year-to-year variation in litter quantities indicated that the amount of litter would continue to increase in the East Asian marginal seas if the level of outflow remains constant in the coming decade. The study confirms that about 3% of all East Asian beaches may potentially experience a 250-fold increase in the amount of plastic beach litter washed ashore in the next 10. years.

本文言語英語
ページ(範囲)174-184
ページ数11
ジャーナルMarine Pollution Bulletin
81
1
DOI
出版ステータス出版済み - 4 15 2014
外部発表はい

All Science Journal Classification (ASJC) codes

  • 海洋学
  • 水圏科学
  • 汚染

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