Improvement of stochastic typhoon model for the purpose of simulating typhoons and storm surges unger global warming

Hiroyasu Kawai, Noriaki Hashimoto, Kuniaki Matsuura

研究成果: 書籍/レポート タイプへの寄稿会議への寄与

19 被引用数 (Scopus)

抄録

A stochastic typhoon model, simulating typhoon parameters during a certain long period with the Monte Carlo method, have been developed based on the statistics of past typhoons around Japan. This study assumed a simple variation of typhoon parameter fields due to global warming and improved the stochastic typhoon model to give stochastic typhoon parameters in future climate. Then the study computed the storm surges by the stochastic typhoons in Seto Inland Sea and estimated the extreme-value function of the tidal levels. The result shows that a higher tidal level than the present design one for storm surge defense facilities may appear with a long return period even in present climate. Both typhoon intensity increase and mean sea level rise may increase the frequency of a disastrous high tidal level. The regionality related to the bathymetry can be found in extreme tidal levels.

本文言語英語
ホスト出版物のタイトルProceedings of the 30th International Conference on Coastal Engineering 2006, ICCE 2006
出版社American Society of Civil Engineers (ASCE)
ページ1838-1850
ページ数13
ISBN(印刷版)9789812706362
DOI
出版ステータス出版済み - 2007
イベント30th International Conference on Coastal Engineering, ICCE 2006 - San Diego, CA, 米国
継続期間: 9月 3 20069月 8 2006

出版物シリーズ

名前Proceedings of the Coastal Engineering Conference
ISSN(印刷版)0161-3782

その他

その他30th International Conference on Coastal Engineering, ICCE 2006
国/地域米国
CitySan Diego, CA
Period9/3/069/8/06

!!!All Science Journal Classification (ASJC) codes

  • 土木構造工学
  • 海洋工学
  • 海洋学

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