The impact of COVID-19 on electricity demand and generation in Japan

Kelly D’Alessandro, Andrew Chapman, Paul Dargusch

研究成果: ジャーナルへの寄稿学術誌査読

1 被引用数 (Scopus)

抄録

This research considered changes in monthly electricity generation and demand in Japan during the COVID-19 pandemic. Observed network electricity demand and generation type for the January–June 2020 period were compared to forecast values (using a triple exponential smoothing method) based on trends established from 2016 to 2019. Regional level electricity demand data showed little variation from expected trends for domestic energy users, but lower than expected business and industrial network demand, particularly in the 50–2000 kW cohort. Electricity demand was most likely to deviate from existing trends in May 2020, which is in-line with the voluntary lockdown activities. These results are consistent with observed patterns from other international studies into the impact of COVID-19 on electricity demand. Generation was found to be reduced in May and June of 2020, without significant impacts to the generation makeup, largely due to Japan’s positioning within a broader energy transition context. These findings validate previous studies and add to the broader discussions on drivers and the rationale for electricity demand behaviors between user scales. Previous studies examined the electricity demand reductions of full and partial lockdowns. This analysis adds to this discourse by documenting the impacts of a voluntary lockdown.

本文言語英語
論文番号10836
ジャーナルSustainability (Switzerland)
13
19
DOI
出版ステータス出版済み - 10月 1 2021

!!!All Science Journal Classification (ASJC) codes

  • 地理、計画および開発
  • 再生可能エネルギー、持続可能性、環境
  • 環境科学(その他)
  • エネルギー工学および電力技術
  • マネジメント、モニタリング、政策と法律

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